Schedule Updates
Problem Set 3 is due Sunday, 8 November (8:29pm). Please don’t wait to get started so you have enough time to do something interesting and valuable for the open-ended questions.
There is no Problem Set 4.
Project Pre-Proposal: Friday, November 13
Project Update: Monday, November 23
Last class: Monday, December 7
Links
Simeon-Denis Poisson, Recherches sur la probabilité des jugements en matière criminelle et en matière civile ; précédées des Règles générales du calcul des probabilités, 1837.
For a more accessible presentation, at least if you don’t read French, try: Poisson Processes, Robert Gallager.
Alan E. Gelfand and Herbert Solomon, A Study of Poisson’s Models for Jury Verdicts in Criminal and Civil Trials, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1973.
Blockchain: Median (?) Confirmation Time (not sure they understand the difference - URL has “avg”, title has “median”)
quandl.com: Average Confirmation Time
How do these make sense with what we know about Poisson processes and bitcoin transactions?