Schedule Updates

Problem Set 3 is due Sunday, 8 November (8:29pm). Please don’t wait to get started so you have enough time to do something interesting and valuable for the open-ended questions.

There is no Problem Set 4.

Project Pre-Proposal: Friday, November 13
Project Update: Monday, November 23
Last class: Monday, December 7

Simeon-Denis Poisson, Recherches sur la probabilité des jugements en matière criminelle et en matière civile ; précédées des Règles générales du calcul des probabilités, 1837.

For a more accessible presentation, at least if you don’t read French, try: Poisson Processes, Robert Gallager.

Alan E. Gelfand and Herbert Solomon, A Study of Poisson’s Models for Jury Verdicts in Criminal and Civil Trials, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1973.

Blockchain: Median (?) Confirmation Time (not sure they understand the difference - URL has “avg”, title has “median”) Average Confirmation Time

How do these make sense with what we know about Poisson processes and bitcoin transactions?

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